Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Yes Bank has adequate capitalisation with CET 1, Tier 1 and overall CAR of 11.9%, 11.9% and 17.5%, respectively, as on June 30, 2022. Capital position of the bank had improved after the capital raise of Rs 15,000 crore via an FPO in July 2020. Previously, capital of Rs 10,000 crore was also infused by different financial institutions as part of its reconstruction scheme in March 2020. The bank has also announced a capital raise of Rs 8900 crore in July 2022, out of which Rs 5100 crore will be in the form of equity (to be raised in fiscal 2023) and the rest being in the form of equity warrants (expected to be converted in equity in fiscal 2024). This capital raise is subject to the approvals from the stake holders such as regulators. This capital raise should support the capital position of the bank.
The bank has a sizeable networth of Rs 34,149 crore as on June 30, 2022 (Rs 33,742 crore as on March 31, 20222) and the networth coverage for net NPAs remained adequate at 4.4 times as on June 30, 2022 (4.1 times as on March 31, 2022).
Additionally, the bank’s internal accruals has also improved with the bank reporting profits in last five quarters. While the profitability is muted, it should also support the capitalisation levels of the bank. Nevertheless, the bank’s ability to generate healthy internal accruals and raise timely capital for growth and any potential asset side risks, remains a key rating sensitivity factor.
- Improvement in stability and granularity in the liability profile
Yes Bank witnessed a steady outflow of deposits pre-reconstruction of the bank and till March 2020 given the challenges faced and the adverse news reports about the bank. As on March 31, 2020, deposits stood at Rs 105,364 crore as against Rs 227,610 crore as on March 31, 2019. CASA deposits as a proportion of overall deposits had declined to 26.6% as on March 31, 2020 from 33.1% as on March 31, 2019.
However, the deposit base has stabilised and improved after March 31, 2020. Total deposits (including certificate of deposits) as on June 30, 2022 increased to Rs 1,93,241 crore – registering a year-on-year increase of 18% and an absolute increase of 83% from March 31, 2020. This has been supported by the bank’s increased efforts to restrict deposit outflow and bring in new depositors. The top priority of the management, since the reconstruction of the bank, has been to build back the liability franchise and the bank has taken various steps and initiatives in this regard.
Further, the growth in deposits has been broad-based with all the segments such as current account (CA), savings account (SA), retail term deposits (deposits below Rs 2 crore) and wholesale term deposits registering a year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 25%, 39%, 12% and 13%, respectively, during the period ended June 30, 2021. CASA deposits formed 30.8% of the overall deposits as on June 30, 2022, an improvement from 27.4% as on June 30, 2020. Additionally, retail deposits defined as SA deposits and retail term deposits remained stable at 49.7% as on June 30, 2022 (48.9% as on June 30, 2020).
Nevertheless, top 20 depositors continue to form significant part at 14.2% of the total deposits as on March 31, 2022 (18.3% as on March 31, 2021) and the ability of the bank to build a retail liabilities franchise on a steady state basis will be a critical rating sensitivity factor.
Weaknesses:
- Modest, albeit improving, asset quality
Asset quality of the bank continues to remains modest with elevated GNPA levels. GNPA stood at 13.45% as on June 30, 2022 and 13.9% as on March 31, 2022 (15.4% as on March 31, 2021). The GNPA has come down from 16.8% as on March 31, 2020, it has been supported by write-offs worth 7.9% (Rs 13211 crore) and 5.7% (Rs 9521 crore) recovery and upgrades in last couple of fiscals. The elevated GNPA levels are primarily driven by weak asset quality in the corporate segment, which had a GNPA of 28.8% as on June 30, 2022 (28.4% as on March 31, 2022). Further, the non-corporate segment has also witnessed an inch up in GNPAs. However, the same has improved to 1.9% as on June 30, 2022 (2.1% as on March 31, 2022) from 3.0% as on March 31, 2021, on account of write-offs. Additionally, as the bank has relatively higher exposure to contact-based sectors such as hospitality, travel and media for corporate exposure and impact of Covid-19 on non-corporate segment, the bank witnessed slippages of 3.5% of opening of net advances in fiscal 2022 (and 7.7% of opening net advances in fiscal 2021), impacting its asset quality performance.
Nevertheless, the bank has stepped up its recovery efforts in the past few quarters. In fiscal 2022, it witnessed a total recovery and upgrades of Rs 5458 crore (Rs 4933 crore for fiscal 2021). The bank has announced a transaction with an asset reconstruction company, wherein the bank is in a process to sell Rs 48000 crore of stressed assets. This includes the GNPA, non-performing investments as well written off accounts. The value of the base bid being higher by 35% than the book value of the assets in the balance sheet, the bank will use the buffer for the incremental mark down of the security receipt value in the books. The transaction, when consummated, is expected to significantly reduce the reported gross NPA levels of the bank.
Further, the bank has also been focussing on granular retail asset segments and working capital financing for the corporate segment. However, given the intense competition, ability to scale up this book while maintaining asset quality and profitability needs to be seen. Build-up of a sound operating model and strengthening of governance and compliance framework will also be critical for the long-term success of the bank and will be key rating monitorables.
- Muted profitability, albeit, an improvement in recent quarters
Because of the elevated slippages and associated provisioning costs in fiscal 2021, Yes Bank reported a loss of Rs 3,462 crore with negative return on assets (RoA) of 1.3% for fiscal 2021. Its provisioning costs (including provisions for standard assets) stood at Rs 9,383 crore (3.5% of average assets) for fiscal 2021. However, supported by lower provisioning costs of Rs 1480 crore (0.5%), the bank reported a profit of Rs 1066 crore with an RoA of 0.4% in the fiscal 2022. Further, the bank has maintained high provision coverage for GNPAs at 72.0% as on June 30, 2022 (70.7% as on March 31, 2022 and 65.7% as on March 31, 2021).
Nevertheless, bank’s profitability has been muted by decrease in net interest margins (NIMs) and increase in operating expenditure. Bank’s NIMs of the bank has been muted at around 2.3% (of average assets; annualised) for the quarter ended June 30, 2022 and 2.2% (of average assets) for fiscal 2022 as against 2.8% for fiscal 2021. Further, the bank has been making investments in the technology as well as branch infrastructure, which has increased to 2.6% (of average assets) for the quarter ended June 30, 2022 and 2.3% for fiscal 2022 from 2.2% for fiscal 2021.
Nevertheless, any further material slippage, particularly given the challenging macroeconomic environment amid the Covid-19 outbreak, can potentially impact the bank’s earnings, and thereby, its capital position.